#prediction markets

The code reveals what the pitch deck conceals. An Israeli Air Force officer's...

Audit the code, not the pitch. Polymarket is best known for letting you bet o...

An Israeli Air Force officer read classified military intelligence. Then he...

Most people think crypto media covers crypto. They assume that when a...

Polymarket’s daily active users dropped 60% post-election. The 2024 election...

Kalshi wants a $40 billion valuation. That’s more than Coinbase’s market cap ...

Code does not lie, but it does hide. The New York City Council has given four...

I watched a small business owner lose 40% of his annual revenue because he...

Insider trading hits prediction markets. A White House teleprompter operator...

On March 8, 2025, attorneys general from 44 US states sent a joint letter...

Hook On July 31, 2024, the POLY token surged 37% in four hours. The catalyst...

Hook Over the past 48 hours, the probability of a 14-day ceasefire in the...

The code whispers, but the soul listens. In a Minneapolis courtroom last week...

In the summer of 2026, as the Federal Reserve’s balance sheet contraction...

Tweet 1 Polymarket’s prediction market module for perpetual swaps launched Q2...

We didn't need another reminder that crypto markets run on narratives before...

The 13% Bloodbath and the 29% Mirage: Why the Market's Real Signal Is Buried ...

The same day brought two headlines that together form a Rorschach test for th...

Hook When the market screams, the data whispers. On March 14, 2025, a single...

A prediction market says there is a 78% chance Iran attacks Israel by July 22...

Hook 46.5%. That is the probability – as of press time – that the entire Midd...

The ledger does not lie, only the narrative does. On a Tuesday morning, while...

Hook Over the past 48 hours, a single data point has silently propagated...

The data hit my terminal at 14:32 CET. A prediction market contract on Irania...

A 74% probability on a blockchain-based prediction market. An official denial...

Hook On May 24, 2024, a single data point on Polymarket shifted: the contract...

I remember sitting in a cramped Sydney apartment in March 2020, watching Bren...

I don't care about your oil spike thesis. The 2017 break didn't teach me to...

I don't care who Morgan Rogers is. But the crypto-native sports betting...

On July 19, 2024, Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu ordered airstrike...

At 2:34 AM Manila time, the news alert hit my phone: US airstrike hits milita...

Over the past 48 hours, a single prediction market contract has captured the...

On July 31, the Polymarket contract for "Iran will lose control of Kharg Isla...

The first boom hit Eilat’s skyline at 2:14 a.m. local time. Not thunder—the...

The data lands before the press release. A single number sits smart...

The logic held; the incentives were broken. Over the two weeks of the 2026...

The ink was barely dry on the Polymarket contract for Shohei Ohtani’s Game 3...

Hook The Polymarket contract for "U.S. recognition of Palestine before 2025"...

On Polymarket, a single binary contract is trading at 92.5 cents per share. T...

Over the weekend, the world watched Argentina lift the World Cup trophy. But ...

A single number dominated crypto Twitter on May 20: 52.5%. That was the impli...

On April 18, 2025, a number appeared in a crypto briefing that carried the...

Hope is a liability. The final whistle of the 2024 FIFA Women’s World Cup ble...

In the ashes of a liquidation, gold is forged. Yesterday's explosion in Tehra...

The French National Gambling Authority (ANJ) made its move. On July 22, 2025,...

The number appeared on my screen at 3:47 AM Sydney time — 26.5% YES on a 2026...

Polymarket’s annualized revenue crossed $10 billion in July 2026. That figure...

The French National Gambling Authority (ANJ) didn't just block a website; it...

The prediction markets are screaming a number that doesn't compute: $1.25...

The data shows 1.6% probability for a final Iran nuclear agreement by August...